A year after the enactment of the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) released an analysis detailing what it says are the law’s broad effects on employment, output and wages across every state. NAM argues that provisions intended to spur investment—such as 100% expensing for newly built factories, immediate depreciation of machinery, and enhanced R&D expensing—helped sustain manufacturing activity in all 50 states. The report presents a state-by-state ledger intended to illustrate how the policy mix translated into tangible outcomes for manufacturers and their workers.
In California, NAM’s analysis asserts the largest gains: roughly 708,000 jobs saved, about $134 billion in gross domestic product and $67 billion in wages preserved, according to NAM’s assessment. Texas is reported to follow with approximately 547,000 jobs saved, $107 billion in GDP and $51 billion in wages. Florida is cited as the third-largest state in the NAM tally, with about 399,000 jobs saved and $36 billion in wages supported by the policy framework.
NAM’s president and chief executive, Jay Timmons, framed the release as evidence that “Tax policy is far more than numbers on a spreadsheet,” arguing that the real-world stories from across all states demonstrate how pro-growth measures have given manufacturers the confidence to invest, hire, raise wages and expand facilities. The NAM release recounts corporate examples: a commercial helicopter maker deploying R88 helicopters for fire surveillance and leveraging immediate R&D expensing to accelerate development; WilliamsRDM describing continued investment in engineering, prototyping, testing and design improvements across aerospace, defense, fire suppression, energy and security sectors.
In Florida, NAM estimated 399,000 jobs and $36 billion in wages saved, with Johnson & Johnson reportedly investing more than $1 billion to expand Jacksonville operations. J&J’s Kathy Wengel, the company’s chief technical operations and risk officer, said the investments reflect a sustained commitment to American innovation, enabled by a strong and stable corporate tax rate.
SNAP-ON’s Nick Pinchuk, NAM Vice Chair for Tax and Finance Policy, highlighted that long-term tax certainty translates into workforce certainty and called the policy “an investment in the American worker.” He added that the law’s permanence protects manufacturers from tax hikes and supports long-term planning.
Proponents emphasize that the tax changes—specifically R&D expensing and accelerated capital investment—have lowered barriers to investment, enabling firms to modernize capacity and pursue new projects. NAM notes that the policy framework reinforces manufacturing’s role in the nation’s future and aims to provide a stronger base for small- and family-owned manufacturers to recruit, train and retain skilled labor.
Lawmakers outside NAM’s leadership echoed support for permanent, pro-growth tax policy and the potential long-run benefits to manufacturing and job opportunities. House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith and Senate Finance Chair Mike Crapo both cited the measures as delivering a durable framework for investment and growth.
NAM’s release comes as manufacturers publicize stories of realized investments, jobs and wages, alongside events and media appearances that showcase the policy’s role in reshaping corporate confidence and capital expenditure decisions. Supporters describe the law as a durable, pro-growth policy, while opponents argue for ongoing scrutiny of broader fiscal and demand concerns. NAM, however, emphasizes concrete job- and investment-based outcomes as of the one-year milestone.
